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America needs to make more stuff, not more fees

Sunday, September 28th, 2008

With the current financial system crisis or regulatory failure crisis, or greed crisis, depending upon your perspective, it is once again abundantly clear that we are losing jobs and much of the middle class due to an economy that has shifted from making things and selling them, to charging fees and commissions for moving numbers on a spreadsheet.

There has always been a place for finance professionals and there still is, but this century has seen financial services come to so dominate our economy that we are now facing a nearly trillion-dollar taxpayer-funded bailout of the U.S. finance system’s drunken orgy while countless Americans are trying to feed their family and pay their bills and stay in the house that they used to be able to afford with the jobs they used to have.

I’ve just finished reading an excellent book that examines how we got here and what may well lie in store for us, with abundant supporting data. Unless we make some major shifts in what moves our economy we are headed for the same fate that has caused several other formerly great nations to dwindle to a fraction of their former status.

The book is: Bad Money: Reckless Finance, Failed Politics and the Global Crisis of American Capitalism by Kevin Phillips.

Audio Author Interview on NPR, March 21, 2008 (approx. 7 min.)



Video of Kevin Phillips speaking on the topic April 28, 2008 (approx. 90 min.)

This book is available at the Tulsa Library in audio download and print versions as well as the various book sellers. I listened to the audio version, but realize that I missed a bit by not having the many charts and tables of data to refer back to as it went on.

Before you dismiss Phillips as another liberal Bush-hater, know that Phillips is a former Republican strategist going back to the Nixon campaign and has been credited for coining the term “silent majority.”

What makes this time in our history so hard is that a great many people that are not unemployed are very much underemployed. They have had to take jobs that pay much less and have less benefits as our economy shifts from innovation in creating things to build and sell to innovation in credit marketing, fee generation and the creation of financial instruments that nearly no one can really understand. Meanwhile we are inundated with offers for credit cards so we can buy all the stuff that is churned out in factories overseas that few of us really need to buy anyway. As our amount of disposable income diminishes, it will become impossible for this nation of consumers to buy much of anything outside of food, housing and utilities even with our pocketful of credit cards. That is the real looming train wreck.

People that are just trying to get by will not be buying an HD TV for every room in the house or a new car every three years or a $4 coffee and $3 scone for breakfast every day. You can’t make a consumer-driven economy work when a larger and larger share of your consumers are working $10/hour jobs with no benefits. Eventually they can’t even make the minimum payments on their credit cards and all those shiny things from the factories overseas just sit in the stores waiting for their turn on the clearance aisle. Even Henry Ford, not exactly a socialist, understood that he needed to make a car that his own workers could buy.

Financial services just don’t employ enough people to keep a large consumer-driven engine fed. They don’t buy raw materials, patent new ideas, do R&D or ship products. Not everyone in this country can work in health care or retail or government and keep a consumer-driven economy running.

I’m not saying that the government should stop the financial services business and force companies to open buggy whip factories and employ us all at $50 an hour. But, government tax policies can and do make a difference in what gets outsourced and offshored and what stays at home.

However, the biggest part of the answer lies with the tremendous innovation and creative ability of the people in this big free melting pot. What made the 20th century America’s century was not just factories, but the creativity that figured out new ways to make and do things and new things to make and do. There’s a reason that the international language of air traffic and the oil and gas industry among others, is English, and the answer is not the UK, much as I do like their ales and quaint roadsters.

Several other commentators, as diverse as Thomas Friedman and Boone Pickens have called for a new surge of American innovation in finding and delivering new sources of energy and much improved efficiency in currently available sources. When voices with this kind of knowledge and background yet divergent political perspectives start agreeing on a big issue, it’s time for the rest of us to consider it.

Thomas Friedman, Green the Bailout

Boone Pickens Plan

The perfect plan doesn’t exist, but we can drown while waiting for it

Monday, September 15th, 2008

Like most of you I have been seeing and hearing about the Pickens Plan for energy. I’ve read through most of it and it seems to me that it is saying we could do a lot to reduce our dependence on foreign oil by better utilizing wind and natural gas energy that we have here. While the plan I read does not pretend to end dependence on oil, foreign or domestic, it sure looks like it is a good idea.

I can remember seeing a good deal about using compressed natural gas (CNG) as a transport fuel around here nearly 20 years ago. Everything I saw about it then looked very promising. I was doing some photo work for a compressor company that ONG was using so I got to see and hear several presentations on CNG motor fuel. Click to continue »

Reconnecting with the Big Picture

Thursday, August 28th, 2008

Last night I made an observation that helped me put things back in their true perspective. Looking up into the southwestern sky, I can see our big, bright, neighborhood giant, Jupiter. With only the aid of a 45x spotting scope I can clearly see several bright points around the large sphere. Those bright points are four of Jupiter’s moons. These four, the Galilean moons, are: Io, Europa, Ganymede and Callisto. These can be seen through a good set of binoculars, if you can hold steady enough.

Looking up and seeing these and knowing that these are the same four bright points observed by Galileo and others helps to remind me that this whole world is both tiny and yet long enduring, at least on man’s time scale. When I get too wound up about the latest plans of the local oligarchy to construct a great and wonderful downtown, whether we like it or not, it helps to step back, look up and think about the big picture. These annoyances about process in a supposedly free and open government will pass and we will likely eventually accept the completed trails, stadiums, carefully crafted developments and the like, even though they may be nothing like what “we” would have liked.

Do we really know or care about the volcanic activity on Io? Does Ganymede know or care that there are political conventions or stadium trusts on Earth? No, I think to both questions. So I remind myself to relax and remember the Golden Rule, “those with the gold make the rules.” Little has changed on the blue planet for thousands of years. Technology advances, but man is pretty much the same.